Suddenly, the metrics are looking pretty good for the Miami Heat.
With the Heat having climbed to within a half game of the final playoff spot their odds of making the postseason nearly have doubled in less than three weeks.
Given a 19.4 percent by ESPN’s BPI Playoff Odds and 26 percent chance by PlayoffStatus.com of making the playoffs at the All-Star break, those odds are moving in Miami’s favor.
Miami’s chances of playing beyond its April 12 regular-season finale now ares 45.3 percent according to ESPN and 47 percent by PlayoffStatus. Both ninth best among Eastern Conference teams.
Coach Erik Spoelstra’s Heat (31-34) enter tonight’s home game against Toronto with a 20-4 record over the last two months, the best in the NBA.
PlayoffStatus breaks down each team’s chances at finishing 1 through 8 and it gives the Heat an 11 percent chance of landing in the sixth spot, 15 percent for finishing No. 7 and 18 percent at eighth.
The top 8 in the East shifted Friday with the fading Bulls dropping into a tie with the Heat at No. 9 after being hammered by Houston, which had a 33-2 run during the game. Chicago was surpassed by the Bucks, who defeated Indiana for their fifth straight win.
Chicago has lost four in a row but still is projected to sneak into the No. 8 spot by ESPN (53.9 percent) and PlayoffStatus (53) over the Heat and Bucks.
The Heat, though, have the schedule advantage over both and overwhelmingly over the Bucks.
Miami has 17 remaining games, 10 at home and eight against teams over .500.
Chicago has 17 remaining games, eight at home and seven against teams over .500.
Milwaukee has 18 remaining games, six at home and eight against teams over .500.
After hosting Minnesota tonight, the Bucks start a six game western swing.
For those dreaming bigger when it comes to the Heat. Miami is one game behind No. 8 Detroit and two games in back of No. 7 Indiana.
Detroit has 17 remaining games, eight at home and seven against teams over .500.
Indiana has 17 remaining games, nine at home and eight against teams over .500.
The Pacers and the Heat each have three games remaining against Toronto.